"The two Clinton victories do not mark a break in a pattern of
mediocre Democratic performance in presidential elections. The 1996
presidential victory was combined with Republican retention of both
houses of Congress. We find little evidence here of a resurgence of
the kind that could spark even the most optimistic Democratic
activist to speak of a new or renewed Democratic majority, or even
of a new or renewed Democratic presidential majority.
Bill Clinton's re-election is a great triumph for Bill Clinton;
it is certainly a good thing for the Democrats. But it was clearly
a very personal triumph that neither generated across-the-board
gains for the Democratic party in 1996 nor created a stable basis
for the party's electoral success in the future. Nothing that
happened in 1996 suggests that the dealigned electoral politics
that have dominated the last thirty years is coming to an end. In
2000, Bill Clinton moves from electoral politics to electoral
history. The forces that twice elected him enter the uncertainty
that characterizes all electoral politics in a dealigned age."
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