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Errors, Blunders, and Lies - How to Tell the Difference (Hardcover)
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Errors, Blunders, and Lies - How to Tell the Difference (Hardcover)
Series: ASA-CRC Series on Statistical Reasoning in Science and Society
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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We live in a world that is not quite "right." The central tenet of
statistical inquiry is that Observation = Truth + Error because
even the most careful of scientific investigations have always been
bedeviled by uncertainty. Our attempts to measure things are
plagued with small errors. Our attempts to understand our world are
blocked by blunders. And, unfortunately, in some cases, people have
been known to lie. In this long-awaited follow-up to his
well-regarded bestseller, The Lady Tasting Tea, David Salsburg
opens a door to the amazing widespread use of statistical methods
by looking at historical examples of errors, blunders and lies from
areas as diverse as archeology, law, economics, medicine,
psychology, sociology, Biblical studies, history, and war-time
espionage. In doing so, he shows how, upon closer statistical
investigation, errors and blunders often lead to useful
information. And how statistical methods have been used to uncover
falsified data. Beginning with Edmund Halley's examination of the
Transit of Venus and ending with a discussion of how many tanks
Rommel had during the Second World War, the author invites the
reader to come along on this easily accessible and fascinating
journey of how to identify the nature of errors, minimize the
effects of blunders, and figure out who the liars are.
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