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Intradaily Exchange Rate Movements (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2000)
Loot Price: R2,986
Discovery Miles 29 860
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Intradaily Exchange Rate Movements (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2000)
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In the late 1980s, as the empirical appeal of macro-economic
exchange rate models began to fade, a few people including
Professor Charles Goodhart at the London School of Economics and
researchers at Olsen & Associates in Zurich, started to collect
intra-daily exchange rate data. The resulting database provides new
insight into the foreign exchange markets and thereby opens up
previously unexplored avenues of research. Intra-Daily Exchange
Rate Movements presents an extensive study of the Olsen &
Associates database and is one of the first monographs in this
exciting new area. This book aims to provide a systematic study of
the characteristics of intra-daily exchange rate data as well as an
empirical investigation into different approaches of modelling the
exchange rate movements. First, the author describes empirical
insights, which range from the distributional issues of exchange
rate data to the impact of macroeconomic fundamentals and
institutional characteristics. This leads to a survey of the main
stylized facts. Using the O&A database, Guillaume then presents
a systematic investigation of the empirical performance of three
broad categories of models: macro-economic models using an
extension of chaos theory, stochastic models including the GARCH
and time-deformation models, and technical analysis. The book shows
how these approaches can be used to model intra-daily exchange rate
movements and highlights some of the pitfalls inherent in such an
exercise. In an area where literature remains controversial, this
book hopes to trigger further inquiries into the suitability of
these different approaches to modelling.
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