Reliability analyses for complex engineering systems inevitably
involve uncertainties. Uncertainty management is essential for
practical usability and credibility of reliability based decision
making. An overview of the basic concepts of uncertainty
propagation, together with simple and practical illustrations is
presented. The issues of uncertainty management addressed in this
book include: identifying the sources of uncertainty in reliability
analyses, characterizing them at the element level, propagating
them to the system level, recommending ways to handle the important
contributors, and taking decisions in the light of uncertainties.
All these issues are discussed with several case studies from
nuclear power plants including electrical, electronic, and
mechanical systems. This book is designed to assist practicing
engineers, managers, and researchers involved in reliability and
safety activities of complex engineering systems.
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