Ephraim Kam observes surprise attack through the eyes of its
victim in order to understand the causes of the victim's failure to
anticipate the coming of war. Emphasing the psychological aspect of
warfare, Kam traces the behavior of the victim at various
functional levels and from several points of view in order to
examine the difficulties and mistakes that permit a nation to be
taken by surprise. He argues that anticipation and prediction of a
coming war are more complicated than any other issue of strategic
estimation, involving such interdependent factors as analytical
contradictions, judgemental biases, organizational obstacles, and
political as well as military constraints.
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