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Scenario Thinking - Preparing Your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 2nd ed. 2018)
Loot Price: R1,157
Discovery Miles 11 570
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Scenario Thinking - Preparing Your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 2nd ed. 2018)
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Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario
analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior
decision makers, attenuate decision makers' tendency to deflect
responsibility for bleak, negative scenario outcomes, and enhance
causal analysis within scenario-storyline development. What if? Two
of the most powerful - and frightening - words in business. Almost
as bad as "I didn't see that coming." Some things that transform
the marketplace overnight come from nowhere. Some things that
create potentially critical under-performance are genuinely
unforeseeable. Sometimes it is impossible to predict how a change
in an organizational strategy will play out. Some things and
sometimes - but not many and not often. Decision makers in
organizations face more-and-more complex and ambiguous problems
that need to be addressed under time pressure - and the need for
practical decision support has become essential. The range of
methods in this book will enable you to be prepared, proactive and
resilient no matter what the future brings. Based on up-to-date
academic research and years of application and iteration in the
real world, this book, illustrated with examples of the value
delivered in Europe, Australia and the Middle East, will transfer
practical skills in scenario thinking using step-by-step
instructions. This thoroughly revised and expanded second edition
introduces these new approaches in detail, with clear guidelines
and examples to enable the reader to select and implement the most
appropriate scenario method to suit the issue at hand - considering
the timeframe for its investigation, the resources available and
the outcomes expected.
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