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Books > History > History of specific subjects > Economic history
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Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era - Incomplete Data, Imperfect Markets (Hardcover)
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Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era - Incomplete Data, Imperfect Markets (Hardcover)
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Reality-based modeling for today's unique economic recovery
Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era presents a more
realistic approach to modeling, using direct statistical
applications to address the characteristics and trends central to
current market behaviors. This book's unique focus on the reality
of today's markets makes it an invaluable resource for students and
practitioners seeking a comprehensive guide to more accurate
forecasting. While most books treat the economy as if it were in a
vacuum, building models around idealized or perception-biased
behaviors, this book deals with the economy as it currently stands
in a state of recovery, limited by financial constraints, imperfect
information, and lags and disparities in price movements. The
authors identify how these characteristics impact various markets'
behaviors, and quantify those behaviors using SAS as the primary
statistical tool. Today's economy bears a number of unique
attributes that usual modeling methods fail to consider. This book
describes how to approach modeling based on real-world, observable
data in order to make better-informed decisions in today's markets.
* Discover the three economic characteristics with the greatest
impact on various markets * Create economic models that mirror the
current post-recession reality * Adopt statistical methods that
identify and adapt to structural breaks and lags * Factor
real-world imperfections into modeling for more accurate
forecasting The past few years have shown a clear demarcation
between policymakers' forecasts and actual outcomes. As the dust
settles on the Great Recession, after-effects linger and impact our
current recovery in ways that diverge from past experience and
theoretical expectations. Economic Modeling in the Post Great
Recession Era provides comprehensive guidance grounded in reality
for today's economic decision-makers.
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