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The Future of Antarctica - Scenarios from Classical Geopolitics (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2022)
Loot Price: R1,860
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The Future of Antarctica - Scenarios from Classical Geopolitics (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2022)
Series: Springer Polar Sciences
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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As global great power competition intensifies, there is growing
concern about the geopolitical future of Antarctica. This book
delves into the question of how can we anticipate, prepare for, and
potentially even shape that future? Now in its 60th year, the
Antarctic Treaty System has been comparatively resilient and
successful in governing the Antarctic region. This book assesses
how our ability to make accurate predictions about the future of
the Antarctic Treaty System reduces rapidly in the face of
political and biophysical complexity, uncertainty, and the passage
of time. This poses a critical risk for organisations making
long-range decisions about their policy, strategy, and investments
in the frozen south. Scenarios are useful planning tools for
considering futures beyond the limits of standard prediction. This
book explores how a multi-disciplinary focus of classical
geopolitics might be applied systematically to create scenarios on
Antarctic futures that are plausible, rigorous, and robust. This
book illustrates a pragmatic, nine-step scenario development
process, using the topical issue of military activities in
Antarctica. Along the way, the authors make suggestions to augment
current theory and practice of geopolitical scenario planning. In
doing so, this book seeks to rediscover the importance of a
classical (primarily state-centric) lens on Antarctic geopolitics,
which in recent decades has been overshadowed by more critical
perspectives. This book is written for anyone with an interest in
the rigorous assessment of geopolitical futures - in Antarctica and
beyond.
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