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Risk Aspects of Investment-Based Social Security Reform (Hardcover)
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Risk Aspects of Investment-Based Social Security Reform (Hardcover)
Series: (NBER) National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Reports
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Our current social security system operates on a pay-as-you-go
basis; benefits are paid almost entirely out of current revenues.
As the ratio of retirees to taxpayers increases, concern about the
high costs of providing benefits in a pay-as-you-go system has led
economists to explore other options. One involves "prefunding", in
which a person's withholdings are invested in financial
instruments, such as stocks and bonds, the eventual returns from
which would fund his or her retirement. The risks such a system
would introduce - such as the volatility in the market prices of
investment assets - are the focus of this offering from the NBER.
Exploring the issues involved in measuring risk and developing
models to reflect the risks of various investment-based systems,
economists evaluate the magnitude of the risks that both retirees
and taxpayers would assume. The insights that emerge show that the
risk is actually moderate relative to the improved return, as well
as being balanced by the ability of an investment-balanced system
to adapt to differences in individual preferences and conditions.
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