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Resilience quantification of urban areas. - An integrated statistical-empirical-physical approach for man-made and natural disruptive events. (Paperback)
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Resilience quantification of urban areas. - An integrated statistical-empirical-physical approach for man-made and natural disruptive events. (Paperback)
Series: Schriftenreihe Forschungsergebnisse aus der Kurzzeitdynamik, 37
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A growing urbanization, an increasing complexity of critical
infrastructure and the formation of new threats are new challenges
for urban areas and require a sustainable development and a
stronger coping capacity with potential adverse events.
Sustainability requires a strengthening of resilience. Within this
work, an integrated mathematical approach for the quantification of
resilience is defined. This method allows a comprehensive
evaluation of urban areas and the identification of weak spots.
Statistical data are combined with physical models to assess the
occurrence of multiple threats and their potential consequences.
This risk based assessment is combined with time dependent recovery
models to result in a quantity for resilience. Results of this
framework can be applied to evaluate the effectiveness of single
resilience phases, like prepare, prevent, protect, response and
recover. Besides the mathematical formulation, application examples
in this work assess exemplarily terroristic threats in urban
surroundings with empirical information of historical events and
engineering models to assess possible structural damage effects.
The comparison of different urban footprints builds the basis for a
resilient urban planning process.
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