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Forecasting Economic Time Series (Paperback, New) Loot Price: R1,444
Discovery Miles 14 440
Forecasting Economic Time Series (Paperback, New): Michael Clements, David Hendry

Forecasting Economic Time Series (Paperback, New)

Michael Clements, David Hendry

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Loot Price R1,444 Discovery Miles 14 440 | Repayment Terms: R135 pm x 12*

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This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.

General

Imprint: Cambridge UniversityPress
Country of origin: United Kingdom
Release date: October 1998
First published: 1998
Authors: Michael Clements • David Hendry
Dimensions: 229 x 152 x 22mm (L x W x T)
Format: Paperback - Trade
Pages: 392
Edition: New
ISBN-13: 978-0-521-63480-9
Categories: Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Economic forecasting
Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Econometrics > General
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LSN: 0-521-63480-6
Barcode: 9780521634809

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