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Shock to the System - Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization (Paperback)
Loot Price: R741
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Shock to the System - Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization (Paperback)
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How violent events and autocratic parties trigger democratic change
How do democracies emerge? Shock to the System presents a novel
theory of democratization that focuses on how events like coups,
wars, and elections disrupt autocratic regimes and trigger
democratic change. Employing the broadest qualitative and
quantitative analyses of democratization to date, Michael Miller
demonstrates that more than nine in ten transitions since 1800
occur in one of two ways: countries democratize following a major
violent shock or an established ruling party democratizes through
elections and regains power within democracy. This framework
fundamentally reorients theories on democratization by showing that
violent upheavals and the preservation of autocrats in power-events
typically viewed as antithetical to democracy-are in fact central
to its foundation. Through in-depth examinations of 139 democratic
transitions, Miller shows how democratization frequently follows
both domestic shocks (coups, civil wars, and assassinations) and
international shocks (defeat in war and withdrawal of an autocratic
hegemon) due to autocratic insecurity and openings for opposition
actors. He also shows how transitions guided by ruling parties
spring from their electoral confidence in democracy. Both contexts
limit the power autocrats sacrifice by accepting democratization,
smoothing along the transition. Miller provides new insights into
democratization's predictors, the limited gains from events like
the Arab Spring, the best routes to democratization for long-term
stability, and the future of global democracy. Disputing commonly
held ideas about violent events and their effects on democracy,
Shock to the System offers new perspectives on how regimes are
transformed.
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