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Acts of God and Man - Ruminations on Risk and Insurance (Paperback)
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Acts of God and Man - Ruminations on Risk and Insurance (Paperback)
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Much has been written about the ups and downs of financial markets,
from the lure of prosperity to the despair of crises. Yet a more
fundamental and pernicious source of uncertainty exists in today's
world: the traditional "insurance" risks of earthquakes, storms,
terrorist attacks, and other disasters. Insightfully exploring
these "acts of God and man," Michael R. Powers guides readers
through the methods available for identifying and measuring such
risks, financing their consequences, and forecasting their future
behavior within the limits of science. A distinctive characteristic
of earthquakes, hurricanes, bombings, and other insurance risks is
that they impact the values of stocks, bonds, commodities, and
other market-based financial products, while remaining largely
unaffected by or "aloof" from the behavior of markets. Quantifying
such risks given limited data is difficult yet crucial for
achieving the financing objectives of insurance. Powers begins with
a discussion of how risk impacts our lives, health, and possessions
and proceeds to introduce the statistical techniques necessary for
analyzing these uncertainties. He then considers the experience of
risk from the perspectives of both policyholders and insurance
companies, and compares their respective responses. The risks
inherent in the private insurance industry lead naturally to a
discussion of the government's role as both market regulator and
potential "insurer of last resort." Following a thoughtful and
balanced analysis of these issues, Powers concludes with an
interdisciplinary investigation into the nature of uncertainty,
incorporating ideas from physics, philosophy, and game theory to
assess science's limitations in predicting the ramifications of
risk.
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