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The Nile Development Game - Tug-of-War or Benefits for All? (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2019)
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The Nile Development Game - Tug-of-War or Benefits for All? (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2019)
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This book introduces an analytic framework constructed upon the
iterated Prisoners' Dilemma game to model and analyze transboundary
water interactions along the Nile River. It presents a thorough and
in-depth analysis of the historical path through which conflict and
cooperation have been generated among the Nile riparians over
large-scale developmental schemes. This is done through modeling
water interactions in the basin as an iterated Prisoners' Dilemma
game and employing process-tracing method to compare four
distinguishable rounds of the game: the colonial round, the Cold
War round, the post-Cold War round, and the post-2011 round. The
book examines the influences of the changing political contexts at
the domestic, regional, and global levels on the game outcomes.
This framework is initially applied on several cases of
international rivers worldwide, while the rest of the book is
devoted to the Nile case. The book's central argument is that the
riparians' interests, capabilities, and beliefs are heterogeneous
in varying degrees and that the changing multilevel political
contexts influence the level of such heterogeneities among the
riparians, which ultimately drive the equilibrium dynamics in the
Nile game to generate different conflictive and cooperative
outcomes over time. Although the book's main conclusion indicates
that the absence of economic interdependence and regional
integration will transfer the game into tug-of-war, which will
impose harsh punishment on the basin communities and ecosystems on
the long term, the final chapter lists a group of recommendations
addressed to the riparian states and international donors,
exploring the way for boosting cooperation and preventing conflicts
in the basin. Presenting clear theoretical, methodological, and
policy implications, this book is appropriate for students and
scholars of international relations, hydrology, and development
studies.
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