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Forecasting Financial & Economic Cycles (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R1,676
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Forecasting Financial & Economic Cycles (Hardcover)
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Gain the knowledge and skills that can help you exploit
instability. Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles No book can
help you construct foolproof forecasting systems that will ensure
youa ll accurately predict economic turning points every time. But
with Niemira and Kleina s Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles
on hand, youa ll be able to significantly strengthen your ability
to measure, monitor, and forecast important fluctuations. Part
history, it provides you with essential background material on the
characteristics and causes of economic volatility. It offers
accessible coverage of the classical business cycle, the five basic
types of economic cycles as determined by leading economists, and
evolving ideas on the forces driving instability----ranging from
simple unicausal theories, more complex Keynesian theory, to new
classical macroeconomics. In addition, its concise review of
Americaa s economic past highlights the lessons that can be learned
from the various cycles experienced since shortly before World War
II. Part handbook, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles
presents the full spectrum of statistical techniques used to
measure cycles, trends, seasonal patterns, and other vital changes,
offering you step--by--step guidance on applying a specific method
and detailing its uses and limitations. It goes on to show how you
can adapt particular techniques to assess, track, and predict: aeo
Industry cycles----including an objective, tailor--made forecasting
tool aeo Regional business cycles----including a survey of regional
indicators aeo International business cycles----with an
international business cycle chronology aeo Inflation
cycles----plus "12 little--known facts" about this complex cycle
aeo Financial cycles----covering credit, monetary, and interest
rate cycles aeo Stock market cycles----with advice on achieving
more disciplined trading Based on outstanding scholarship and years
of practical experience, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles
will serve as an invaluable tool for practitioners like you whose
decision--making----and profit margin----depend on accurately
assessing todaya s often uncertain economic climate. "Forecasting
Financial and Economic Cycles provides a lively survey of the many
ways that cyclical economic activity has been dissected and
analyzed. With this book, an astute reader may even be able to
anticipate the next cyclical turn." ----Samuel D. Kahan Chief
Economist Fuji Securities, Inc. "The definitive book on the most
important and enduring feature of an often mist--bound economic
landscape: the business cycle." ----Alfred L. Malabre, Jr.
Economics Editor The Wall Street Journal "Niemira and Klein cover
both the theory of economic cycles and methods for forecasting
them. They provide one of the most comprehensive and current
reviews of academic studies of economic cycles to be found
anywhere." ----Anthony F. Herbst Professor of Finance The
University of Texas at El Paso "This book succeeds as a
comprehensive, balanced, and accessible treatment of fluctuations
in economic and financial activity. It should prove useful to all
those in industry and finance who wish to understand and analyze
the trends and changes in the modern dynamic economy." ----Victor
Zarnowitz Professor Emeritus of Economics and Finance University of
Chicago
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