The Long Shadow is the first comprehensive, systematic examination
of the roles and implications of nuclear weapons in the
dramatically different post-Cold War security environment. Leading
experts investigate the roles and salience of nuclear weapons in
the national security strategies of twelve countries and the ASEAN
states, and their implications for security and stability in a
broadly defined Asian security region that includes the Middle
East. The study also investigates the prospects for nuclear
terrorism in Asia. A chief conclusion of the study is that nuclear
weapons influence national security strategies in fundamental ways
and that deterrence continues to be the dominant role and strategy
for the employment of nuclear weapons. Offensive and defensive
strategies may increase in salience but will not surpass the
deterrence function. Another major conclusion is that although
there could be destabilizing situations, on balance, nuclear
weapons have reinforced security and stability in the Asian
security region by assuaging national security concerns,
strengthening deterrence and the status quo, and preventing the
outbreak and escalation of major hostilities. As nuclear weapons
will persist and cast a long shadow on security in Asia and the
world, it is important to reexamine and redefine "old" ideas,
concepts, and strategies as well as develop "new" ones relevant to
the contemporary era. In line with this, the global nuclear order
should be constructed anew based on present realities.
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