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Adaptive Disaster Risk Assessment - Combining Multi-Hazards with Socioeconomic Vulnerability and Dynamic Exposure (Paperback)
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Adaptive Disaster Risk Assessment - Combining Multi-Hazards with Socioeconomic Vulnerability and Dynamic Exposure (Paperback)
Series: IHE Delft PhD Thesis Series
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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Climate change, combined with the rapid and often unplanned
urbanisation trends, is associated with a rising trend in the
frequency and severity of disasters triggered by natural hazards.
In order to face the impacts of such threats, it is necessary to
have an appropriate Disaster Risk Assessment (DRA). Traditional DRA
approaches for disaster risk reduction (DRR) have focused mainly on
the hazard component of risk, with little attention to the
vulnerability and the exposure components. To address this issue,
this dissertation's main objective is to develop and test a
disaster risk modelling framework that incorporates socioeconomic
vulnerability and the adaptive nature of exposure associated with
human behaviour in extreme hydro-meteorological events in the
context of SIDS. To achieve the objective, an Adaptive Disaster
Risk Assessment (ADRA) framework is proposed. ADRA uses an
index-based approach (PeVI) to assess the socioeconomic
vulnerability using three components: susceptibility, lack of
coping capacities, and lack of adaptation. Furthermore, ADRA
explicitly incorporates the exposure component using two
approaches; first, a logistic regression model was built using the
actual evacuation rates observed during Hurricane Irma, and second,
an Agent-based model is used to simulate how households change
their exposure levels in relation to different sources of
information
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