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Country Risk - The Bane of Foreign Investors (Paperback, 1st ed. 2020)
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Country Risk - The Bane of Foreign Investors (Paperback, 1st ed. 2020)
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Country risk has been a key notion for economists, financiers, and
investors. Norbert Gaillard defines this notion as "any
macroeconomic, microeconomic, financial, social, political,
institutional, judiciary, climatic, technological, or sanitary risk
that affects (or could affect) an investor in a foreign country.
Damages may materialize in several ways: financial losses; threat
to the safety of the investing company's employees, clients, or
consumers; reputational damage; or loss of a market or supply
source." Chapter 1 introduces the key concepts. Chapter 2
investigates how country risk has evolved and manifested since the
advent of the Pax Britannica in 1816. It describes the
international political and economic environment and identifies the
main obstacles to foreign investment. Chapter 3 documents the
numerous forms that country risk may take and provides
illustrations of them. Seven broad components of country risk are
scrutinized in turn: international political risks; domestic
political and institutional risks; jurisdiction risks;
macroeconomic risks; microeconomic risks; sanitary, health,
industrial, and environmental risks; and natural and climate risks.
Chapter 4 focuses on sovereign risk. It presents the rating
methodologies used by four raters; next, it measures and compares
their performance (i.e., their ability to forecast sovereign
defaults). Chapter 5 studies the risks likely to affect exporters,
importers, foreign creditors of corporate entities, foreign
shareholders, and foreign direct investors. It presents the rating
methodologies used by seven raters and measures their track records
in terms of anticipating eight types of shocks that reflect the
main components of country risk analyzed in Chapter 3. This book
will be most relevant to graduate students in economics as well as
professional economists and international investors.
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