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Profit From Your Forecasting Software - A Best Practice Guide for Sales Forecasters (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R807
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Profit From Your Forecasting Software - A Best Practice Guide for Sales Forecasters (Hardcover)
Series: Wiley and SAS Business Series
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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Go beyond technique to master the difficult judgement calls of
forecasting A variety of software can be used effectively to
achieve accurate forecasting, but no software can replace the
essential human component. You may be new to forecasting, or you
may have mastered the statistical theory behind the software's
predictions, and even more advanced "power user" techniques for the
software itself--but your forecasts will never reach peak accuracy
unless you master the complex judgement calls that the software
cannot make. Profit From Your Forecasting Software addresses the
issues that arise regularly, and shows you how to make the correct
decisions to get the most out of your software. Taking a
non-mathematical approach to the various forecasting models, the
discussion covers common everyday decisions such as model choice,
forecast adjustment, product hierarchies, safety stock levels,
model fit, testing, and much more. Clear explanations help you
better understand seasonal indices, smoothing coefficients, mean
absolute percentage error, and r-squared, and an exploration of
psychological biases provides insight into the decision to override
the software's forecast. With a focus on choice, interpretation,
and judgement, this book goes beyond the technical manuals to help
you truly grasp the more intangible skills that lead to better
accuracy. Explore the advantages and disadvantages of alternative
forecasting methods in different situations Master the
interpretation and evaluation of your software's output Learn the
subconscious biases that could affect your judgement toward
intervention Find expert guidance on testing, planning, and
configuration to help you get the most out of your software
Relevant to sales forecasters, demand planners, and analysts across
industries, Profit From Your Forecasting Software is the much
sought-after "missing piece" in forecasting reference.
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