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Rational Responses to Risks (Hardcover)
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Rational Responses to Risks (Hardcover)
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Good decisions account for risks. For example, the risk of an
accident while driving in the rain makes a reasonable driver decide
to slow down. While risk is a large topic in theoretical
disciplines such as economics and psychology, as well as in
practical disciplines such as medicine and finance, philosophy has
a unique contribution to make in developing a normative theory of
risk that states what risk is, and to what extent our responses to
it are rational. Weirich here develops a philosophical theory of
the rationality of responses to risk. He first distinguishes two
types of risk: first, a chance of a bad event, and second, an act's
risk in relation to its possible outcomes. He argues that this
distinction has normative significance in the sense that one's
attitudes towards these types of risks - and how one acts on them -
are governed by different general principles of rationality.
Consequently, a comprehensive account of risk must not only
characterize rational responses to risk but also explain why these
responses are rational. Weirich explains how, for a rational ideal
agent, the expected utilities of the acts available in a decision
problem explain the agent's preferences among the acts. As a
result, maximizing expected utility is just following preferences
among the acts. His view takes an act's expected utility, not just
as a feature of a representation of preferences among acts, but
also as a factor in the explanation of preferences among acts. The
book's precise formulation of general standards of rationality for
attitudes and for acts, and its rigorous argumentation for these
standards, make it philosophical; but while mainly of interest to
philosophers, its broader arguments will contribute to the
conceptual foundations of studies of risk in all disciplines that
study it.
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