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Nonlinear Time Series - Theory, Methods and Applications with R Examples (Hardcover)
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Nonlinear Time Series - Theory, Methods and Applications with R Examples (Hardcover)
Series: Chapman & Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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Designed for researchers and students, Nonlinear Times Series:
Theory, Methods and Applications with R Examples familiarizes
readers with the principles behind nonlinear time series
models-without overwhelming them with difficult mathematical
developments. By focusing on basic principles and theory, the
authors give readers the background required to craft their own
stochastic models, numerical methods, and software. They will also
be able to assess the advantages and disadvantages of different
approaches, and thus be able to choose the right methods for their
purposes. The first part can be seen as a crash course on
"classical" time series, with a special emphasis on linear state
space models and detailed coverage of random coefficient
autoregressions, both ARCH and GARCH models. The second part
introduces Markov chains, discussing stability, the existence of a
stationary distribution, ergodicity, limit theorems, and
statistical inference. The book concludes with a self-contained
account on nonlinear state space and sequential Monte Carlo
methods. An elementary introduction to nonlinear state space
modeling and sequential Monte Carlo, this section touches on
current topics, from the theory of statistical inference to
advanced computational methods. The book can be used as a support
to an advanced course on these methods, or an introduction to this
field before studying more specialized texts. Several chapters
highlight recent developments such as explicit rate of convergence
of Markov chains and sequential Monte Carlo techniques. And while
the chapters are organized in a logical progression, the three
parts can be studied independently. Statistics is not a spectator
sport, so the book contains more than 200 exercises to challenge
readers. These problems strengthen intellectual muscles strained by
the introduction of new theory and go on to extend the theory in
significant ways. The book helps readers hone their skills in
nonlinear time series analysis and their applications.
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