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Exit Polls - Surveying the American Electorate, 1972-2010 (Hardcover, Revised)
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Exit Polls - Surveying the American Electorate, 1972-2010 (Hardcover, Revised)
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Every two years, exit polls become the most widely analyzed,
written about, and discussed data-set in the United States.
Although exit polls are known for their use in predicting
elections, they are in fact the best tool for explaining election
results. Exit polls are taken from actual voters, whereas
pre-election polls that tally people's intended votes tend to
overstate the number of people who will actually go to the polls.
Exit Polls: Surveying the American Electorate is a groundbreaking
new reference work that explores for the first time the trends in
longitudinal variables asked in the national Election Day exit
polls from their beginning in 1972 to the present. The book
documents comparable survey items that have appeared in multiple
exit polls over time. Authors Samuel J. Best and Brian S.
Krueger-both election commentators for CBS news and statistical
experts-present more than 100 tables and 100 figures showing the
changes in the American electorate and its voting patterns over
time. This work represents the first time exit poll data has been
combined to show trends over time. Chapter one: The Exit Poll
Phenomenon provides a brief history of exit polls and chronicles
how they evolved into their current arrangement. It explains how
exit poll questions are developed, the sampling and weighting
procedures used, the reporting protocols adopted, and the benefits
and limitations of exit polls. Chapter two: Creating and Using Exit
Poll Time Series describes how individual exit polls were compiled
into a first of its kind cumulative data file and discusses the
rationale for selecting specific survey items. The chapter explains
the techniques used to merge the data and discusses the framework
used to present the data in the subsequent chapters. Chapter three:
Composition of Voters in Federal Elections focuses on changes in
the demographic and ideological composition of the electorate over
almost forty years, including gender, age, race, sexual
orientation, education, income, religion, party membership, and
military service. Chapter four: The Presidential Voting Preferences
of the Active Electorate examines the presidential voting patterns
of the various groups that make up the American electorate, from
1972 to 2010. Chapter five: The Congressional Voting Preferences of
the Active Electorate examines the congressional voting patterns of
the various groups that make up the American electorate from 1972
to 2010. Offering unique insight into the American electorate, this
important new work is meant to serve novice and expert researchers
alike. Libraries with holdings in American politics and government
will want to acquire this one-of-a-kind resource.
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