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The implementation of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Protocol on Trade - Possible trends for intraregional trade for the countries of a heterogeneous region (Paperback)
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The implementation of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Protocol on Trade - Possible trends for intraregional trade for the countries of a heterogeneous region (Paperback)
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Diploma Thesis from the year 1998 in the subject Business economics
- Trade and Distribution, grade: 1,3, Berlin School of Economics
and Law (Unbekannt), language: English, abstract: Inhaltsangabe:
Abstract: The SADC Protocol on Trade lays the foundation for the
planned free trade area in the SADC region. Its ratification is
expected in the near future and therefore the question arises in
how far the creation of the free trade area will affect the
patterns of intraregional trade. After an examination of the
framework of preferential and free trade agreements in the region
this study employs a customised methodology based on Viner's theory
of customs unions in order to identify those areas of trade that
will be affected by trade creation or trade diversion effects. I
have examined the trade creation and trade diversion potential of
the most relevant goods for each of the twelve SADC countries,
resolved to a 2 digit HS code level. These results were then put
into relation to the overall macroeconomic situation in each
country. There were a number of data problems that make the
findings of this study less meaningful. However, to some extent
this report can be seen as a best possible approximation and as a
starting point for further and more detailed research. The overall
findings can be summed up as follows: . South Africa is not going
to be the only winner from the free trade area and especially its
textile and clothing sector might suffer as a result. . There are
virtually no trade creation and trade diversion effects to be
expected for the BLNS countries but there is a good possibility of
additional exports. Therefore, they are likely to profit the most.
. Angola and Mozambique will probably experience the strongest
trade creation and trade diversion effects. This will be triggered
mainly by free trade with South Africa and the fact that their
industrial base is very weak and has just started recovering.
Zusammenfassung: Das SADC Handelsprotokoll ist die Grundlage f
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