Twenty-four million people wager nearly $3 billion on college
basketball pools each year, but few are aware that winning
strategies have been developed by researchers at Harvard, Yale, and
other universities over the past two decades. Bad advice from media
sources and even our own psychological inclinations are often a
bigger obstacle to winning than our pool opponents. Profit
opportunities are missed and most brackets submitted to pools don't
have a breakeven chance to win money before the tournament begins.
Improving Your NCAA (R) Bracket with Statistics is both an
easy-to-use tip sheet to improve your winning odds and an
intellectual history of how statistical reasoning has been applied
to the bracket pool using standard and innovative methods. It
covers bracket improvement methods ranging from those that require
only the information in the seeded bracket to sophisticated
estimation techniques available via online simulations. Included
are: Prominently displayed bracket improvement tips based on the
published research A history of the origins of the bracket pool A
history of bracket improvement methods and their results in play
Historical sketches and background information on the mathematical
and statistical methods that have been used in bracket analysis A
source list of good bracket pool advice available each year that
seeks to be comprehensive Warnings about common bad advice that
will hurt your chances Tom Adams' work presenting bracket
improvement methods has been featured in the New York Times, Sports
Illustrated, and SmartMoney magazine.
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