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The Great Population Spike and After - Reflections on the 21st Century (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R2,726
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The Great Population Spike and After - Reflections on the 21st Century (Hardcover)
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Midway through the eighteenth century, the rate of growth for the
world's population was roughly at zero. Immediately after World War
II, it was just above 2 percent. Ever since, it has fallen
steadily. This new book, the latest offering from a distinguished
expert on international economics, tells readers what this
stagnation or fall in population will mean--economically,
politically, and historically--for the nations of the world.
W. W. Rostow not only traces the whole global arc of this "great
population spike"--he looks far beyond it. What he sees will
interest anyone curious about what is in store for the world's
financial and governmental systems. The Great Population Spike and
After: Reflections on the 21st Century contends that, as the
decline in population now occurring in the industrialized world
spreads to all of the presently developing countries, the global
rate of population will fall to the "zero" level circa 2100.
(Indeed, with the exception of Africa south of the Sahara, it could
reach "zero" long before then.) This being so, how will it be
possible to maintain full employment and social services with a
decelerating population? What will societies do when the proportion
of the working force (as now defined) diminishes radically in
relation to the population of poor or elderly dependents? How will
the countries of the world confront subsequent decreases in
population-related investment?
In answering these queries, this bold study asserts that the
United States is not the "last remaining superpower" but the
"critical margin" without whose support no constructive action on
the world scene can succeed. Rostow takes the view that world peace
will depend on ourgovernment's ability to assume responsibly this
"critical margin" role. Further, he argues that, over a period of
time, the execution of this strategy on the international scene
will require a bipartisan, relentless effort to solve the
combustible social problems that weaken not only our cities but our
whole society.
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