In the past decade global change, mainly caused by climate change,
and its effect on the society has been on the forefront of world
news. Indeed, the issue has become a standard item on the agendas
of political leaders, as it is feared that the economic costs
caused by the predicted changes will be high, and mitigating
measures consume scarce resources. Climate change is expected to
impact heavily on human and animal health because of disturbance of
ecological equilibriums and more favourable conditions for disease
agents. Vector-borne diseases such as malaria, leishmaniasis and
dengue will benefit particularly from the predicted changes by
expansion of the geographic range of the vectors and accelerated
development of the infectious parasites.
This book is the reflection of a workshop in which the potential
impact of global change on malaria and other vector-borne diseases
was discussed from different angles. The workshop brought together
a series of leading scientists in the field of malaria and global
change, to discuss the likelihood of changes in disease risk with
respect to the scale of the predicted changes. Field research,
laboratory studies and epidemiological modelling were presented and
showed how combining theoretical modelling and field validations
can be used to demonstrate the likely effects of global change on
an infectious disease such as malaria. It was clear that
environmental change, more than climate change, is the driving
force behind the observed changes. The rapid spread of blue tongue,
another highly infectious vector-borne disease, illustrates what
might happen if the world looks on unguarded.
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