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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections - A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures (Paperback, 2014 ed.)
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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections - A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures (Paperback, 2014 ed.)
Series: SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential
temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic
reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria
pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an
outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony
(pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of
geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections
based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from
the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate
models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.
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