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The reasons why governments of developing countries should put
computer technology in their schools are highly controversial, but
no less than the actual use being made of these comparatively
expensive machines and their software. This book looks at
experience in African, Asian and Arabic-speaking countries that
already have computers in some of their schools. It is based mainly
on research in China, Jordan, Kenya, Mauritius, Sri Lanka and
Tunisia. The authors debate policy and practice in the light of
experience to date. They identify the rationales commonly deployed
by Ministries of Education and international agencies, but argue
themselves for a long-term view of the potential of computers to
liberalise education, and through such education to reduce
dependency and inequity.
It is a thankless task to attempt to assess the stability of any
country during a period when even liberal democracies are facing a
crisis of governability. And the task is made more difficult when
one is dealing with a country like Ukraine that is in the throes of
a prolonged and difficult post-Communist transition. Nevertheless,
an analysis that can shed some light on the complex factors
affecting stability in Ukraine would be a useful, albeit modest,
step forward. The issue of stability in Soviet successor states has
attracted a great deal of attention in the West because of a
continuing preoccupation with the Soviet legacy and fears that the
region will remain a zone of unrest that may eventually require
some form of significant Western intervention. Following the
disintegration of the Soviet Union, the most immediate concern was
the fate of its ulcer weapons and accompanying production
facilities. Ukraine attracted special attention because of fears
that its leaders might attempt to gain operational control of the
large number of nuclear weapons on its territory in 1991. That
anxiety has now abated, but concerns remain that the deterioration
of the physical and human infrastructure of the nuclear energy
industry in Ukraine could lead to more Chernobyl-type accidents or
the proliferation of nuclear weapons materials and technology. In
the meantime, other concerns have arisen, including the prospect of
continued economic decline and the spread of civil conflicts in
Ukraine, either of which could lead to an influx of refugees into
Western Europe or the need for greater Western involvement in the
region. An American National Intelligence report (reflecting the
view of the American intelligence community and the State
Department), the details of which were leaked to the press at the
end of January 1994, supports this concern, mentioning that Ukraine
was the most likely former Soviet republic to precipitate a major
continentwide crisis. Western commentaries frequently refer to a
number of actual or potential threats to Ukraine stability. These
include continuing economic decline, which has led to growing
social distress and great dissatisfaction among the population; an
increase in ethnic tensions and their potential transformation into
communal conflict; centrifugal trends, sometimes linked to ethnic
grievances, resulting in autonomist or separatist movements; weak
and discredited political institutions and widespread political
apathy, which could leave the country open to the rise of
authoritarian rulers or outside interference in its internal
affairs; and a growth in tensions between Ukraine and Russia. An
examination of the factors influencing Ukraine's stability should
also devote some attention to the behavior of institutions, such as
the military and security forces, that can play an important role
in deterring attempts to destabilize the situation in Ukraine or
can themselves become destabilizing forces in certain
circumstances.
CONTENTS The Issue of Stability The Economy Social Stability Ethnic
Tensions Centrifugal Trends Civil Society and Political Stability
Russian-Ukrainian Relations The Role of the Military Some
Conclusions Developments for Regional Security About the Author
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