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Contemporary American society has the look of a split-level
structure. Its political and social institutions distribute rights
and privileges universally and proclaim the equality of all
citizens. Yet economic institutions, with efficiency as their
guiding principle, create disparities among citizens in living
standards and material welfare. This mixture of equal rights and
unequal economic status breeds tensions between the political
principles of democracy and the economic principles of capitalism.
Whenever the wealthy try for extra helpings of supposedly equal
rights, and whenever the workings of the market deny anyone a
minimum standard of living, ""dollars transgress on rights""-in the
author's phrase. In this revised and expanded version of the Godkin
Lectures presented at the John F. Kennedy School at Harvard
University in April 1974, Arthur M. Okun explores the conflicts
that arise when society's desire to reduce inequality would impair
economic efficiency, confronting policymakers with ""the big
tradeoff."" Other economic systems have attempted to solve this
problem; but the best of socialist experiments have achieved a
greater degree of equality than our mixed capitalist democracy only
at heavy costs in efficiency, and dictatorial governments have
reached heights of efficiency only by rigidly repressing their
citizenry. In contrast, our basic system emerges as a viable, if
uneasy, compromise in which the market has its place and democratic
institutions keep it in check. But within the existing system there
are ways to gain more of one good thing at a lower cost in terms of
the other. In Okun's view, society's concern for human dignity can
be directed at reducing the economic deprivation that stains the
record of American democracy-through progressive taxation, transfer
payments, job programs, broadening equality of opportunity,
eliminating racial and sexual discrimination, and lowering barriers
to access to capital.
The relative deficiencies of U.S. public schools are a serious
concern to parents and policymakers. But they should be of concern
to all Americans, as a globalizing world introduces new competition
for talent, markets, capital, and opportunity. In Endangering
Prosperity, a trio of experts on international education policy
compares the performance of American schools against that of other
nations. The net result is a mixed but largely disappointing
picture that clearly shows where improvement is most needed. The
authors' objective is not to explain the deep causes of past
failures but to document how dramatically the U.S. school system
has failed its students and its citizens. It is a wake-up call for
structural reform. To move forward to a different and better future
requires that we understand just how serious a situation America
faces today. For example, the authors consider the Programme for
International Student Assessment (PISA), an international
mathematics examination. America is stuck in the middle of average
scores, barely beating out European countries whose national
economies are in the red zone. U.S. performance as measured against
stronger economies is even weaker - in total, 32 nations
outperformed the United States. The authors also delve into
comparative reading scores. A mere 31 percent of U.S. students in
the class of 2011 could perform at the "proficient" level as
measured by the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)
program, compared with South Korea's result of 47 percent. And
while some observers may downplay the significance of cross-globe
comparisons, they should note that Canadian students are
dramatically outpacing their U.S. counterparts as well. Clearly
something is wrong with this picture, and this book clearly
explicates the costs of inaction. The time for incremental tweaking
the system is long past - wider, deeper, and more courageous steps
are needed, as this book amply demonstrates with accessible prose,
supported with hard data that simply cannot be ignored.
Leading economists discuss post-financial crisis policy dilemmas,
including the dangers of complacency in a period of relative
stability. The Great Depression led to the Keynesian revolution and
dramatic shifts in macroeconomic theory and macroeconomic policy.
Similarly, the stagflation of the 1970s led to the adoption of the
natural rate hypothesis and to a major reassessment of the role of
macroeconomic policy. Should the financial crisis and the Great
Recession lead to yet another major reassessment, to another
intellectual revolution? Will it? If so, what form should it, or
will it, take? These are the questions taken up in this book, in a
series of contributions by policymakers and academics. The
contributors discuss the complex role of the financial sector, the
relative roles of monetary and fiscal policy, the limits of
monetary policy to address financial stability, the need for fiscal
policy to play a more active role in stabilization, and the
relative roles of financial regulation and macroprudential tools.
The general message is a warning against going back to precrisis
ways-to narrow inflation targeting, little use of fiscal policy for
stabilization, and insufficient financial regulation. Contributors
David Aikman, Alan J. Auerbach, Ben S. Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard,
Lael Brainard, Markus K. Brunnermeier, Marco Buti, Benoit Coeure,
Mario Draghi, Barry Eichengreen, Jason Furman, Gita Gopinath,
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Andrew G. Haldane, Philipp Hildebrand,
Marc Hinterschweiger, Sujit Kapadia, Nellie Liang, Adam S. Posen,
Raghuram Rajan, Valerie Ramey, Carmen Reinhart, Dani Rodrik, Robert
E. Rubin, Jay C. Shambaugh, Tharman Shanmugaratnam, Jeremy C.
Stein, Lawrence H. Summers
The transatlantic relationship is under serious strain. The end of
the Cold War, Europes continuing integration, and the new array of
threats confronting the West have led Americans and Europeans alike
to question the durability and utility of the Atlantic alliance.
The transatlantic rift that opened over the war in Iraq
significantly intensified these concerns. This Task Force,
established by the Council on Foreign Relations, examines the
sources of recent tensions between the United States and Europe and
lays out an agenda for renewing the Atlantic partnership. Led by
Dr. Henry A. Kissinger, the former secretary of state and national
security adviser, and current chairman of Kissinger Associates,
Inc., and Dr. Lawrence H. Summers, the former secretary of the
treasury and current president of Harvard University, the Task
Force concludes that the United States and Europe should take
advantage of their compatible interests and complementary
capabilities to guard and extend the values and principles that
continue to define the Atlantic community and to meet threats to
their common purpose. The Task Force, directed by Council Senior
Fellow and Director of European Studies Charles A. Kupchan, makes
specific recommendations for bridging the transatlantic divide,
such as reaching agreement on new rules of the road governing the
use of military force; forging a common policy toward irresponsible
states; increasing cooperation through multilateral institutions;
developing a common approach to the greater Middle East; adapting
NATO to new geopolitical realities; and liberalizing and expanding
the global economy.
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