|
Showing 1 - 9 of
9 matches in All Departments
Where should I live? Is it time to get a new job? Which job
candidate should I hire? What business strategy should I pursue? We
spend the majority of our lives making decisions, both big and
small. Yet, even though our success is largely determined by the
choices that we make, very few of us are equipped with useful
decision-making skills. Because of this, we often approach our
choices tentatively, or even fearfully, and avoid giving them the
time and thought required to put our best foot forward. In Smart
Choices, John Hammond, Ralph Keeney, and Howard Raiffa--experts
with over 100 years of experience resolving complex decision
problems--offer a proven, straightforward, and flexible roadmap for
making better and more impactful decisions, and offer the tools to
achieve your goals in every aspect of your life. Their
step-by-step, divide-and conquer approach will teach you how to: *
Evaluate your plans * Break your potential decision into its key
elements * Identify the key drivers that are most relevant to your
goals * Apply systematic thinking * Use the right information to
make the smartest choice Smart Choices doesn't tell you what to
decide; it tells you how. As you routinely use the process, you'll
become more confident in your ability to make decisions at work and
at home. And, more importantly, by applying its time-tested
methods, you'll make better decisions going forward. Be proactive.
Don't wait until a decision is forced on you--or made for you. Seek
out decisions that advance your long-term goals, values, and
beliefs. Take charge of your life by making Smart Choices a
lifetime habit.
The standard way of thinking about decisions is backwards, says
Ralph Keeney: people focus first on identifying alternatives rather
than on articulating values. A problem arises and people react,
placing the emphasis on mechanics and fixed choices instead of on
the objectives that give decisionmaking its meaning. In this book,
Keeney shows how recognizing and articulating fundamental values
can lead to the identification of decision opportunities and the
creation of better alternatives. The intent is to be proactive and
to select more attractive decisions to ponder before attempting any
solutions.
Keeney describes specific procedures for articulating values by
identifying and structuring objectives qualitatively, and he shows
how to apply these procedures in various cases. He then explains
how to quantify objectives using simple models of values. Such
value analysis, Keeney demonstrates, can yield a full range of
alternatives, thus converting decision problems into opportunities.
This approach can be used to uncover hidden objectives, to direct
the collection of information, to improve communication, to
facilitate collective decisionmaking, and to guide strategic
thinking. To illustrate these uses, Keeney shows how value-focused
thinking works in many business contexts, such as designing an
integrated circuit tester and managing a multibillion-dollar
utility company; in government contexts, such as planning future
NASA space missions and deciding how to transport nuclear waste to
storage sites; and in personal contexts, such as choosing career
moves and making wise health and safety decisions.
An incisive, applicable contribution to the art and science of
decisionmaking, "Value-Focused Thinking" will be extremely useful
to anyone from consultants and managers to systems analysts and
students.
The best way to improve your quality of life is through the
decisions you make. This book teaches several fundamental
decision-making skills, provides numerous applications and
examples, and ultimately nudges you toward smarter decisions. These
nudges frame more desirable decisions for you to face by
identifying the objectives for your decisions and generating
superior alternatives to those initially considered. All of the
nudges are based on psychology and behavioral economics research
and are accessible to all readers. The new concept of a decision
opportunity is introduced, which involves creating a decision that
you desire to face. Solving a decision opportunity improves your
life, whereas resolving a decision problem only restores the
quality of your life to that before the decision problem occurred.
We all can improve our decision-making and reap the better quality
of life that results. This book shows you how.
Many of the complex problems faced by decision makers involve multiple conflicting objectives. This book describes how a confused decision maker, who wishes to make a reasonable and responsible choice among alternatives, can systematically probe his true feelings in order to make those critically important, vexing tradeoffs between incommensurable objectives. The theory is illustrated by many real concrete examples taken from a host of disciplinary settings. The standard approach in decision theory or decision analysis specifies a simplified single objective like monetary return to maximize. By generalizing from the single objective case to the multiple objective case, this book considerably widens the range of applicability of decision analysis.
|
You may like...
Loot
Nadine Gordimer
Paperback
(2)
R398
R330
Discovery Miles 3 300
Loot
Nadine Gordimer
Paperback
(2)
R398
R330
Discovery Miles 3 300
|