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This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and
local population projections. It describes the most commonly used
data sources and application techniques for four types of
projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation,
structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of
population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions,
the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of
forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of
various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique
problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors
provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market
analysts, and others called on to construct state and local
population projections. They use many examples and illustrations
and present suggestions for dealing with special populations,
unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They
describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to
another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing
age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related
variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the
role of judgment and the importance of the political context in
which projections are made. They emphasize the "utility" of
projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of
competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book
will provide readers with an understanding not only of the
mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods,
but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction,
interpretation, evaluation, and use.
This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and
local population projections. It describes the most commonly used
data sources and application techniques within each of three
classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend
extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of
population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of
evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It
considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection
methods, paying special attention to the unique problems of making
projections for small areas, and closes with an examination of
technological and methodological changes affecting the production
of small-area population projections. The authors provide practical
guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to
construct state and local population projections. They use many
examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with
special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or
unreliable data; they also describe techniques for controlling one
set of projections to another and for interpolating between two
projections. They discuss the role of judgment and the importance
of the political context in which projections are made. They
emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for
decision making in a world of competing demands and limited
resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an
understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population
projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting
their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and
local population projections. It describes the most commonly used
data sources and application techniques for four types of
projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation,
structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of
population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions,
the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of
forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of
various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique
problems that characterize small-area projections.
The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners,
market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local
population projections. They use many examples and illustrations
and present suggestions for dealing with special populations,
unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They
describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to
another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing
age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related
variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the
role of judgment and the importance of the political context in
which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of
projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of
competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive
book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the
mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods,
but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction,
interpretation, evaluation, and use.
This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and
local population projections. It describes the most commonly used
data sources and application techniques within each of three
classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend
extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of
population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of
evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It
considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection
methods, paying special attention to the unique problems of making
projections for small areas, and closes with an examination of
technological and methodological changes affecting the production
of small-area population projections. The authors provide practical
guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to
construct state and local population projections. They use many
examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with
special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or
unreliable data; they also describe techniques for controlling one
set of projections to another and for interpolating between two
projections. They discuss the role of judgment and the importance
of the political context in which projections are made. They
emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for
decision making in a world of competing demands and limited
resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an
understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population
projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting
their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
Jewels for the Journey will inspire you. All of us desire a
fulfilled, enriched, and engaged life. We hunger for a life that
brings us satisfaction, validates our worth, and give us a sense of
purpose. Life, however can be challenging and at times doesn't turn
out as you've planned. If not careful, these difficulties can
extinguish your passion, rob you of your hope, and steal your
dreams. Hardship and difficulties are unavoidable; however the key
to your fulfilment in life is not the absence of these challenges,
but the successful navigation of them. The Jewels for the journey
is a thought provoking, whimsical, funny and at times touching book
designed to offer practical insights on everyday difficulties. It
challenges the reader to view problems as learning opportunities.
Each of our hardships, when overcome, can produce gems of wisdom
that are far more valuable than emeralds and rubies. It's what old
folk use to mean when they would say "I wouldn't take nothing for
my journey." Your passion can be rekindled, your hope restored, and
your dreams fulfilled as you expose Jewels on your Journey.
God wants you debt free and prosperous Prosperity includes life,
health, emotional wellness and yes, MONEY Debt is bondage. It
inhibits your ability to live a full and productive life. Jesus
came to set you free from all bondage including freedom from debt.
This book will inspire, provoke and encourage you to seek God's
answer for your financial dilemmas. This book will help you
discover the key to the Power to get Wealth
Benny Mataus, Sr. is the most powerful crime boss in the southeast.
Only one woman has the power to bring him down. But she is long
gone, now in federal witness protection. *** Benny Mataus, Jr. is
his father's strongman. He is a big, brutal man, without issues;
until he rapes and murders the wrong people. *** Dogen Mondo,
firearms guru, must find the killer of his daughter. The answers
lie in the brutal underworld of the Atlanta mob, and with a
beautiful woman. To find those answers, Dogen must find her, and
them. From Alabama to Atlanta, to the Rocky Mountains of Canada,
Dogen will not stop until his revenge is complete. Until they
understand, THE SUFFICIENCE OF EVIL.
Actress Holly Allen, whose career has been declining, thinks she is
flying from L.A. to San Francisco for a dinner date. Once in the
air, she realizes she has been kidnapped, by bad men for nefarious
reasons. Then, as if it couldn't get worse, the small jet must make
an emergency landing in the middle of nowhere. *** Hunting guide Ab
Bailey, alone in the Alaskan wilderness, sees a small jet crash
land on a glacier high in the Wrangell Mountains. If anyone
survived, Ab will have to attempt the rescue on his own, if he can
survive the treacherous climb to the crash site. But this rescue
will hold a stunning surprise, one he did not count on. *** Two
people, from different worlds, in a life and death struggle to
survive. A harrowing attempt to escape through the Alaskan
landscape, filled with mountains, bears, and bad men. And the
biggest question of all. What to do with each other. Against all
odds, alone, together.
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