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Elgar Advanced Introductions are stimulating and thoughtful
introductions to major fields in the social sciences, business and
law, expertly written by the world's leading scholars. Designed to
be accessible yet rigorous, they offer concise and lucid surveys of
the substantive and policy issues associated with discrete subject
areas. Highlighting the power of multi-dimensional demography, this
Advanced Introduction addresses the most consequential changes in
our societies and economies using quantitative approaches. It
defines three demographic theories with predictive power -
demographic metabolism, transition and dividend - and repositions
the discipline at the heart of social science. Key features
include: Discussion of alternative demographic scenarios in the
context of sustainable development Introduction of national human
resource management as the population policy for the 21st century
An outline of how the significant demographic theories discussed
form the building blocks of a Unified Demographic Theory An
argument for cognitive changes as the primary driver of demographic
transition rather than changing economic conditions, demonstrated
by the impact of changing educational attainment structures. This
Advanced Introduction is a must-read for demographers around the
globe for its concise summary of the concepts, theories and power
of multi-dimensional demography, as well as students of demography
at all levels. It will also be useful to academics in other social
sciences, including human geography, development studies and
sociology scholars interested in what state-of-the-art demography
has to offer their fields.
Elgar Advanced Introductions are stimulating and thoughtful
introductions to major fields in the social sciences, business and
law, expertly written by the world's leading scholars. Designed to
be accessible yet rigorous, they offer concise and lucid surveys of
the substantive and policy issues associated with discrete subject
areas. Highlighting the power of multi-dimensional demography, this
Advanced Introduction addresses the most consequential changes in
our societies and economies using quantitative approaches. It
defines three demographic theories with predictive power -
demographic metabolism, transition and dividend - and repositions
the discipline at the heart of social science. Key features
include: Discussion of alternative demographic scenarios in the
context of sustainable development Introduction of national human
resource management as the population policy for the 21st century
An outline of how the significant demographic theories discussed
form the building blocks of a Unified Demographic Theory An
argument for cognitive changes as the primary driver of demographic
transition rather than changing economic conditions, demonstrated
by the impact of changing educational attainment structures. This
Advanced Introduction is a must-read for demographers around the
globe for its concise summary of the concepts, theories and power
of multi-dimensional demography, as well as students of demography
at all levels. It will also be useful to academics in other social
sciences, including human geography, development studies and
sociology scholars interested in what state-of-the-art demography
has to offer their fields.
The highly acclaimed The Future Population of the World contains
the most authoritative assessment available of the extent to which
population is likely to grow over the next 50 to 100 years. The
book provides a thorough analysis of all the components of
population change and translates these factors into a series of
projections for the population of the world's regions. This revised
and updated version incorporates completely new scenario
projections based on updating starting values and revised
assumptions, plus several methodological improvements. It also
contains the best currently available information on global trends
in AIDS mortality and the first ever fully probabilistic world
population projections. The projections, given up to 2100, add
important additional features to those of the UN and the World
Bank: they show the impacts of alternative assumptions for all
three components (mortality and migration, as well as fertility);
they explicitly take into account possible environmental limits to
growth; and, for the first time, they define confidence levels for
global populations. Combining methodological innovation with
overviews of the most recent data and literature, this updated
edition of The Future Population of the World is sure to conform
its reputation as the most comprehensive and essential publication
in the field.
This book provides an overview of demographic trends and patterns in the republics of the Soviet Union. The material presented provides a comprehensive and detailed review of fertility, marriage and the family, age and mortality. With data evaluated by leading Soviet and Western demographers, this book forms the first compendium of demographic research on the former Soviet republics through the twentieth century. eBook available with sample pages: 0203041690
The Role of Education in Enabling the Sustainable Development
Agenda explores the relationship between education and other key
sectors of development in the context of the new global Sustainable
Development Goals (SDG) agenda. While it is widely understood that
there is a positive relationship between education and other
dimensions of development, and populations around the world show a
clear desire for more and better education, education remains an
under-financed and under-prioritised sector within development.
When education does make it onto the agenda, investment is usually
diverted towards increasing access to formal schooling, without
focusing on the intrinsic value of education as a tool for
development within the international development community more
broadly. The authors explore these tensions through a review of
literature from a range of disciplines, providing a clearer picture
of the relationship between education and other development
sectors. The book challenges silo-thinking in the SDGs by exploring
how achieving the SDG education targets can be expected to support
or hinder progress towards other targets, and vice-versa. Drawing
on examples from both low and high income countries, the book
demonstrates how 'good' education functions as an 'enabling right',
impacting positively on many other areas. The book's scope ranges
across education and development studies, economics, geography,
sociology and environmental studies, and will be of interest to any
researchers and students with an interest in education and the
SDGs.
In the last 15 years feedback interventions have had a significant
impact on the field of psychotherapy research and have demonstrated
their potential to enhance treatment outcomes, especially for
patients with an increased risk of treatment failure. Current
investigations on feedback research are concerned with potential
moderators and mediators of these effects, as well as the design
and the implementation of feedback into routine care. After
summarizing the current state of feedback research, this book
provides empirical investigations of contemporary feedback
research. These efforts aim at answering three overarching
questions: 1) How should we implement feedback systems into routine
practice and how do therapist and patient attitudes influence its
effects?, 2) How can we design feedback reports and decision
support tools?, and 3) Why do patients become at risk of treatment
failure and how should therapists intervene with these patients?
The studies included in this book reflect the current state of
feedback research and provide promising pathways for future
endeavours that will enhance our understanding of feedback effects.
This book was originally published as a special issue of
Psychotherapy Research.
In this collection, international contributors come together to
discuss how qualitative and quantitative methods can be used in
psychotherapy research. The book considers the advantages and
disadvantages of each approach, and recognises how each method can
enhance our understanding of psychotherapy. Divided into two parts,
the book begins with an examination of quantitative research and
discusses how we can transfer observations into numbers and
statistical findings. Chapters on quantitative methods cover the
development of new findings and the improvement of existing
findings, identifying and analysing change, and using
meta-analysis. The second half of the book comprises chapters
considering how qualitative and mixed methods can be used in
psychotherapy research. Chapters on qualitative and mixed methods
identify various ways to strengthen the trustworthiness of
qualitative findings via rigorous data collection and analysis
techniques. Adapted from a special issue of Psychotherapy Research,
this volume will be key reading for researchers, academics, and
professionals who want a greater understanding of how a particular
area of research methods can be used in psychotherapy.
In this collection, international contributors come together to
discuss how qualitative and quantitative methods can be used in
psychotherapy research. The book considers the advantages and
disadvantages of each approach, and recognises how each method can
enhance our understanding of psychotherapy. Divided into two parts,
the book begins with an examination of quantitative research and
discusses how we can transfer observations into numbers and
statistical findings. Chapters on quantitative methods cover the
development of new findings and the improvement of existing
findings, identifying and analysing change, and using
meta-analysis. The second half of the book comprises chapters
considering how qualitative and mixed methods can be used in
psychotherapy research. Chapters on qualitative and mixed methods
identify various ways to strengthen the trustworthiness of
qualitative findings via rigorous data collection and analysis
techniques. Adapted from a special issue of Psychotherapy Research,
this volume will be key reading for researchers, academics, and
professionals who want a greater understanding of how a particular
area of research methods can be used in psychotherapy.
'An excellent basis for thinking about the future of the world's
population. Every contributor to the population-environment debate
needs to read the demographic sense the book contains and lecturers
in population matters around the globe should recommend it to their
students' Applied Geography 'The most authoritative assessment
available of the extent to which population is likely to grow'
Development and Cooperation 'Lutz and his colleagues at IIASA have
done a masterful job of presenting and explaining the dominant
approach to forecasting the world's population and the population
of its 12 main regions' Population and Development Review
'Immensely readable ... highly recommended' Development and Change
The highly acclaimed The Future Population of the World contains
the most authoritative assessment available of the extent to which
population is likely to grow over the next 50 to 100 years. The
book provides a thorough analysis of all the components of
population change and translates these factors into a series of
projections for the population of the world's regions. This revised
and updated version incorporates completely new scenario
projections based on updating starting values and revised
assumptions, plus several methodological improvements. It also
contains the best currently available information on global trends
in AIDS mortality and the first ever fully probabilistic world
population projections. The projections, given up to 2100, add
important additional features to those of the UN and the World
Bank: they show the impacts of alternative assumptions for all
three components (mortality and migration, as well as fertility);
they explicitly take into account possible environmental limits to
growth; and, for the first time, they define confidence levels for
global populations. Combining methodological innovation with
overviews of the most recent data and literature, this updated
edition of The Future Population of the World is sure to conform
its reputation as the most comprehensive and essential publication
in the field. Wolfgang Lutz is leader of the Population Project at
IIASA and lecturer at the University of Vienna. Originally
published in 1996
The 20th century was the century of explosive population growth,
resulting in unprecedented impacts; in contrast, the 21st century
is likely to see the end of world population growth and become the
century of population aging. We are currently at the crossroads of
these demographic regimes. This book presents fresh evidence about
our demographic future and provides a new framework for
understanding the underlying unity in this diversity. It is an
invaluable resource for those concerned with the implications of
population change in the 21st century. The End of World Population
Growth in the 21st Century is the first volume in a new series on
Population and Sustainable Development. The series provides fresh
ways of thinking about population trends and impacts.
In the last 15 years feedback interventions have had a significant
impact on the field of psychotherapy research and have demonstrated
their potential to enhance treatment outcomes, especially for
patients with an increased risk of treatment failure. Current
investigations on feedback research are concerned with potential
moderators and mediators of these effects, as well as the design
and the implementation of feedback into routine care. After
summarizing the current state of feedback research, this book
provides empirical investigations of contemporary feedback
research. These efforts aim at answering three overarching
questions: 1) How should we implement feedback systems into routine
practice and how do therapist and patient attitudes influence its
effects?, 2) How can we design feedback reports and decision
support tools?, and 3) Why do patients become at risk of treatment
failure and how should therapists intervene with these patients?
The studies included in this book reflect the current state of
feedback research and provide promising pathways for future
endeavours that will enhance our understanding of feedback effects.
This book was originally published as a special issue of
Psychotherapy Research.
* Analyzes the alarming European demographic trends: aging
populations; shrinking families; dropping fertility rates; and mass
migration* Presents the potential ramifications for pensions,
health, housing, transport, the family unit, and more in over 100
tables and graphs along with a full discussion* From a team led by
acclaimed demographer Wolfgang Lutz, this is the culmination of
five years of research by the European Observatory on the Social
Situation, Demography and FamilyEurope's future will be built by
its citizens, but who will those citizens be? How numerous, how
healthy, how long-lived? How many children will they have? What
kind of families will they live in, and what are the main
challenges to their social cohesion? These are the questions that
"The New Generations of Europeans" sets out to answer. Edited by
leading demographers at the International Institute for Applied
Systems Analysis, and made up of contributions from respected
researchers in the fields of population and society, it assesses
what it is to be a citizen of a growing EU and what important
issues will have to be faced if Europe as a collective notion is to
survive. Taking in fertility, family, ageing, health, immigration,
and more, and always considering the situation in, and impact of,
the new member states, the book draws on the latest in demographic,
economic, and social research to provide an intriguing coverage of
the state of the people of Europe today and tomorrow. Crucially,
the question of how changes in this state will impact the
socio-economic infrastructure (e.g. medical facilities, transport,
food provision, etc.) is also addressed.
Because the number of options is often limited, small island states
tend to find it uncommonly difficult to strike a balance between
population, envi ronment, and development. Relatively high
population density and small land areas, without much in the way of
natural resources, do not provide the best of circumstances for
improving the living conditions of the popu lation, especially a
fast-growing one. The result is often stunted economic development
and environmental stress both on land and offshore. The
developments in the island state of Mauritius over the past 30
years, however, can serve as an inspiration and illustration of how
extremely ad verse conditions can be overcome. In the early 1960s
Mauritius was trying to cope with rapid population growth, extreme
poverty, and grim economic 2 prospects. Population density was 324
inhabitants per km , total fertility was 5.7, and GNP per capita
was less than $200. In 1990 the situation in Mauritius was
radically different. Although 2 population density had increased to
527 inhabitants per km , total fertility had dropped to 2.0, and
GNP per capita had increased to $2,310. Economic stagnation had
been replaced by steady growth and full employment, and
environmental problems were being addressed as issues of high
priority.
This is the latest report on what demographers and scientists in
related disciplines think and assume today about the future of
human reproduction, longevity, and migration.
A quick look at some major errors in past population projections
demonstrates that the problem was not with the technical
instruments of projection but with the inability to anticipate
major changes in human behavior and medical progress. Any
population projection that is based exclusively on past trends of
demographic rates is bound to miss possible future dicontinuities
and surprises. If they can be anticipated at all, it can only be
done by considering demographic trends in a broader socioeconomic,
cultural, and biological context.
Here, the three components of population change--fertility,
morality, and migration--are addressed. Introductory chapters
describe past trends and assumptions for projections currently made
in Europe and North America. Also included are discussions and
analyses of some possible demographic discontinuities, together
with a description of how assumptions on the three components are
merged for population projections on national and international
levels. This includes a synthesis where alternative views are
translated numerically into ten alternative demographic scenarios
for East Europe, West Europe, and North America through the year
2050.
The Role of Education in Enabling the Sustainable Development
Agenda explores the relationship between education and other key
sectors of development in the context of the new global Sustainable
Development Goals (SDG) agenda. While it is widely understood that
there is a positive relationship between education and other
dimensions of development, and populations around the world show a
clear desire for more and better education, education remains an
under-financed and under-prioritised sector within development.
When education does make it onto the agenda, investment is usually
diverted towards increasing access to formal schooling, without
focusing on the intrinsic value of education as a tool for
development within the international development community more
broadly. The authors explore these tensions through a review of
literature from a range of disciplines, providing a clearer picture
of the relationship between education and other development
sectors. The book challenges silo-thinking in the SDGs by exploring
how achieving the SDG education targets can be expected to support
or hinder progress towards other targets, and vice-versa. Drawing
on examples from both low and high income countries, the book
demonstrates how 'good' education functions as an 'enabling right',
impacting positively on many other areas. The book's scope ranges
across education and development studies, economics, geography,
sociology and environmental studies, and will be of interest to any
researchers and students with an interest in education and the
SDGs.
Based on more than 40 years of clinical research, this illuminating
book unravels the mysteries of nutrition and shows that changing
the way we eat can help us feel better and live longer. It
describes how a low-carbohydrate/high-protein diet can prevent
cancer, diabetes, heart disease, and obesity, as well as increase
strength, endurance, and muscle mass.
This book addresses systematically and quantitatively the role of
educational attainment in global population trends and models.
Seven background chapters summarize past trends in fertility,
mortality, migration, and education; examine relevant theories and
identify key determining factors; and set the assumptions that are
subsequently translated into alternative scenario projections to
2100. These assumptions derive from a global survey of hundreds of
experts and five expert meetings on as many continents. Another
chapter details their translation into multi-dimensional
projections by age, sex, and level of education. The book's final
chapters analyse the results, emphasizing alternative trends in
human capital, new ways of studying ageing and the quantification
of alternative population, and education pathways in the context of
global sustainable development. An appendix and associated web link
present detailed results for all countries. The book shows that
adding education to age and sex substantially alters the way we see
the future.
Das Buch Himmlische Weisheiten beleuchtet die Lebensf hrung auf
Erden und l dt zum eigenen Nachdenken ein: Sind pers nlich
getroffene Entscheidungen vom Herzen her mit gutem Gewissen
vertretbar? Der in Deutschland im Jahr 1963 geborene Autor Wolfgang
Lutz hat sich als suchender Mensch mit der Sinnfrage des Lebens
unter Ber cksichtigung des Glaubensaspektes besch ftigt und m chte
seine Erfahrungen gerne weitergeben. Dieses Buch ist im
Wesentlichen intuitiv entstanden, wobei der Autor die ihm gegebenen
Worte Engeln zuschreibt. Die einzelnen Kapitel enthalten pers
nliche Lebensansichten des Autors. Das Gute berzeugt durch Sein.
Population and Climate Change provides the first systematic
in-depth treatment of links between two major themes of the
twenty-first century: population growth and associated demographic
trends such as aging, and climate change. It is written by a
multidisciplinary team of authors from the International Institute
for Applied Systems Analysis, who integrate both natural science
and social science perspectives in a way that is readable by
members of both communities. The book will be of primary interest
to researchers in the fields of climate change, demography, and
economics. It will also be useful to policy-makers and NGOs dealing
with issues of population dynamics and climate change, and to
teachers and students on courses such as environmental studies,
demography, climatology, economics, earth systems science, and
international relations.
Population and Climate Change provides the first systematic in-depth treatment of links between two major themes of the 21st century: population growth (and associated demographic trends such as aging) and climate change. It is written by a multidisciplinary team of authors from the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis who integrate both natural science and social science perspectives in a way that is comprehensible to members of both communities. The book will be of primary interest to researchers in the fields of climate change, demography, and economics. It will also be useful to policy-makers and NGOs dealing with issues of population dynamics and climate change, and to teachers and students in courses such as environmental studies, demography, climatology, economics, earth systems science, and international relations.
The 20th century was the century of explosive population growth,
resulting in unprecedented impacts; in contrast, the 21st century
is likely to see the end of world population growth and become the
century of population aging. We are currently at the crossroads of
these demographic regimes. This book presents fresh evidence about
our demographic future and provides a new framework for
understanding the underlying unity in this diversity. It is an
invaluable resource for those concerned with the implications of
population change in the 21st century. The End of World Population
Growth in the 21st Century is the first volume in a new series on
Population and Sustainable Development. The series provides fresh
ways of thinking about population trends and impacts.
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