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Working with Assumptions in International Development Program Evaluation - With a Foreword by Michael Bamberger (Hardcover, 2013 ed.)
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Working with Assumptions in International Development Program Evaluation - With a Foreword by Michael Bamberger (Hardcover, 2013 ed.)
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A major reason complex programs are so difficult to evaluate is
that the assumptions that inspire them are poorly articulated.
Stakeholders of such programs are often unclear about how the
change process will unfold. Thus, it is so difficult to reasonably
anticipate the early and midterm changes that need to happen in
order for a longer-term goalto be reached. The lack of clarity
about the "mini-steps" that must be taken to reach a long-term
outcome not only makes the task of evaluating a complex initiative
challenging, but reduces the likelihood that all of the important
factors related to the long term goal will be addressed. Most of
the resources that have attempted to address this dilemma have been
popularized as theory of change or sometimes program theory
approaches. Although these approaches emphasize and elaborate the
sequence of changes/mini steps that lead to the long-term goal of
interest and the connections between program activities and
outcomes that occur at each step of the way, they do not do enough
to clarify how program managers or evaluators should deal with
assumptions. Assumptions, the glue that holds all the pieces
together, remain abstract and far from applicable. In this book the
author tackles this important assumptions theme head-on-covering a
breadth of ground from the epistemology of development assumptions,
to the art of making logical assumptions as well as recognizing,
explicit zing and testing assumptions with in an elaborate program
theory from program design, implementation, monitoring and
evaluation.
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