Debates about tax policy arise every year in Washington, and
legislative changes occur almost as often. In just the past decade,
corporate tax burdens were dramatically reduced and then
subsequently increased. But who really bears the burden of
taxation? Finding a satisfactory way to address this question
remains one of the biggest challenges for economists. While much
research has explored this issue using annual data on household
incomes and expenditures, this book considers the multiple effects
of taxes on individuals over their entire lifetimes.
Since annual incomes typically vary from year to year, and
change systematically over the course of a lifetime, annual income
is not necessarily a good indicator of a person's relative
well-being. Instead, Dianne Rogers and Don Fullerton categorize
individuals into lifetime income groups, and re-estimate the
pattern of earnings over the lifetime of each group. They utilize a
general equilibrium model that encompasses household demands, work
effort, and savings, and they calculate the distribution of each
current tax. Because their model includes all major U.S. federal,
state, and local taxes, it can be used to simulate the effects of
changes in any of those taxes on investment, productivity, resource
allocation, and the distribution of burdens.
Don Fullerton is professor of economics at the University of
Virginia and visiting professor of economics and public policy at
Carnegie Mellon, School of Urban and Public Affairs. He served as
Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Tax Analysis from
1985 to 1987. Diane Lim Rogers is assistant professor of economics
at Pennsylvania State University.
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