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The Place of Probability in Science - In Honor of Ellery Eells (1953-2006) (Paperback, 2010 ed.)
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The Place of Probability in Science - In Honor of Ellery Eells (1953-2006) (Paperback, 2010 ed.)
Series: Boston Studies in the Philosophy and History of Science, 284
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Science aims at the discovery of general principles of special
kinds that are applicable for the explanation and prediction of the
phenomena of the world in the form of theories and laws. When the
phenomena themselves happen to be general, the principlesinvolved
assume the form of theories; and when they are p- ticular, they
assume the form of general laws. Theories themselves are sets of
laws and de nitions that apply to a common domain, which makes laws
indispensable to science. Understanding science thus depends upon
understanding the nature of theories and laws, the logical
structure of explanations and predictions based upon them, and the
principles of inference and decision that apply to theories and
laws. Laws and theories can differ in their form as well as in
their content. The laws of quantum mechanics are indeterministic
(or probabilistic), for example, while those of classical mechanics
are deterministic (or universal) instead. The history of science re
ects an increasing role for probabilities as properties of the
world but also as measures of evidential support and as degrees of
subjective belief. Our purpose is to clarify and illuminate the
place of probability in science.
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