Drawn from the third in a series of conferences at the Hoover
Institution at Stanford University on the nuclear legacy of the
cold war, this report summarizes the contributors' findings on the
importance of deterrence, from its critical function in the cold
war to its current role. Although deterrence will not disappear,
current and future threats to international security will present
relatively fewer situations in which nuclear weapons will play the
dominant role that they did during the cold war.
The authors highlight ways in which deterrence has been shaped by
surrounding conditions and circumstances. They look at the
prospective reliability of deterrence as a tool of statecraft in
the emerging international environment. And they look at how arms
control agreements have affected deterrence in the past and how
they could do so in the future. In addition, they look at the
ongoing debates over "de-alerting" (slowing down the capability for
immediate launch and rapid nuclear escalation) and the practical
considerations related to verification and compliance.
General
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