Natural Disasters, When Will They Reach Me? (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2016)

The expected time of impact, also known as the mean first passage time (MFPT) to reach failure, is a critical metric in the management of natural disasters. The complexity of the dynamics governing natural disasters lead to stochastic behaviour. This book shows that state transitions of many such systems translate into random walks on their respective state spaces, biased and shaped by environmental inhomogeneity. Thus the probabilistic treatment of those random walks gives valuable insights of expected behaviour. A comprehensive case study of predicting cyclone induced flood is followed by a discussion of generic methods that predict MFPT addressing directional bias. This is followed by discussing MFPT prediction methods in systems showing network inhomogeneity. All presented methods are illustrated using real datasets of natural disasters. The book ends with a short discussion of possible future research areas introducing the problem of predicting MFPT for bush-fire propagation.

General

Imprint:	Springer Verlag, Singapore
Country of origin:	Singapore
Series:	Springer Natural Hazards
Release date:	May 2016
First published:	2016
Authors:	Isuri Wijesundera • Malka N Halgamuge • Thrishantha Nanayakkara • Thas Nirmalathas
Dimensions:	235 x 155 x 10mm (L x W x T)
Format:	Hardcover
Pages:	128
Edition:	1st ed. 2016
ISBN-13:	978-981-10-1111-5
Categories:	Books > Earth & environment > The environment > Environmental impact of natural disasters & phenomena Books > Science & Mathematics > Mathematics > Applied mathematics > Stochastics
LSN:	981-10-1111-7
Barcode:	9789811011115

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