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Probabilistic Analysis of Belief Functions (Hardcover, 2001 ed.)
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Probabilistic Analysis of Belief Functions (Hardcover, 2001 ed.)
Series: IFSR International Series in Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 16
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Inspired by the eternal beauty and truth of the laws governing the
run of stars on heavens over his head, and spurred by the idea to
catch, perhaps for the smallest fraction of the shortest instant,
the Eternity itself, man created such masterpieces of human
intellect like the Platon's world of ideas manifesting eternal
truths, like the Euclidean geometry, or like the Newtonian
celestial me chanics. However, turning his look to the sub-lunar
world of our everyday efforts, troubles, sorrows and, from time to
time but very, very seldom, also our successes, he saw nothing else
than a world full of uncertainty and tem porariness. One remedy or
rather consolation was that of the deep and sage resignation
offered by Socrates: I know, that I know nothing. But, happy or
unhappy enough, the temptation to see and to touch at least a very
small por tion of eternal truth also under these circumstances and
behind phenomena charged by uncertainty was too strong. Probability
theory in its most sim ple elementary setting entered the scene. It
happened in the same, 17th and 18th centuries, when celestial
mechanics with its classical Platonist paradigma achieved its
greatest triumphs. The origins of probability theory were inspired
by games of chance like roulettes, lotteries, dices, urn schemata,
etc. and probability values were simply defined by the ratio of
successful or winning results relative to the total number of
possible outcomes."
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