Hypothetical thought involves the imagination of possibilities and
the exploration of their consequences by a process of mental
simulation. In this Classic Edition, Jonathan St B T Evans'
presents his pioneering Hypothetical Thinking Theory; an integrated
theoretical account of a wide range of psychological studies on
hypothesis testing, reasoning, judgement and decision making.
Hypothetical Thinking Theory is built on three key principles and
implemented in a version of Evans' well-known heuristic-analytic
theory of reasoning. The central claim of this book is that this
theory can provide an integrated account of apparently diverse
phenomena including confirmation bias in hypothesis testing,
acceptance of fallacies in deductive reasoning, belief biases in
reasoning and judgement, biases of statistical judgement and
numerous characteristic findings in the study of decision making.
Featuring a reflective and insightful new introduction to the book,
this classic edition discusses contemporary theory on cognitive
biases, human rationality and dual-process theories of higher
cognition. It will be of great interest to researchers, post
graduates as well as advanced undergraduate students.
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