Manuela Spangler deals with the default risk modelling of German
covered bonds (Pfandbriefe). Existing credit risk models are not
suitable for this purpose as they only consider the
creditworthiness of the issuer while product-specific features are
not taken into account. The author develops a multi-period
simulation-based Pfandbrief model which adequately accounts for the
product's most important characteristics and risks. The model
provides a flexible framework for structural analyses and can be
easily extended for tailor-made investigations. While the focus of
the work is on the specification of the model itself, simulation
results from an exemplary model calibration are also discussed.
About the Author Manuela Spangler works as a quantitative risk
analyst for a large asset management company and holds a PhD in
mathematics from the University of Augsburg. Prior to her current
position, she worked as a risk manager and financial engineer in
the banking and insurance sector for various years.
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