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Accelerated Land Reform, Mining, Growth, Unemployment and Inequality in South Africa - A Case for Bold Supply Side Policy Interventions (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2019)
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Accelerated Land Reform, Mining, Growth, Unemployment and Inequality in South Africa - A Case for Bold Supply Side Policy Interventions (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2019)
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The overarching goal of South Africa's National Development Plan
(NDP) is to eliminate poverty, reduce inequality, lower
unemployment and increase the labour participation.This book
contributes to academic and policy efforts to achieve these NDP
goals. We establish that the coal, metal ores and the platinum
group commodity sectors will underpin the mining as a "sunrise"
industry. The export-led growth strategy is necessary for intensive
employment creation but must be complemented by other micro,
macroeconomic and industrial policies. A strategy of minerals
beneficiation is important for intensive employment creation.
Accelerated land reform is a supply side or structural reform
policy intervention tool aimed at increasing potential output,
changing ownership patterns in the economy, increasing
entrepreneurship, labour absorption, economic inclusion and
lowering income inequality. Evidence shows that the balance sheet
channel, commodity price booms and busts are intricately linked
with the exchange rate dynamics, policy uncertainty, confidence and
the effects of droughts (also symptoms of climate change).
Productivity and investment growth shocks matter for output,
employment and price stability. Evidence indicates that nominal GDP
growth above 10 percent and keeping inflation within the target
band leads to significant increase in employment and decline in
unemployment, without inflationary pressures, especially when
inflation is below 4.5 percent. To operationalise the NDP targets,
align and co-ordinate policies, the South African Reserve Bank
(SARB) mandate can be expanded to include maximum employment. This
must be complemented by lowering the inflation target band,
adjusting the financial regulatory, macro-prudential and monetary
policy frameworks. This will enhance the conduct and credibility of
monetary and financial stability policies to achieve the set
objectives. These objectives make policy co-ordination pertinent
and binding.
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