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Stochastic Models for Time Series (Paperback, 1st ed. 2018)
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Stochastic Models for Time Series (Paperback, 1st ed. 2018)
Series: Mathematiques et Applications, 80
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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This book presents essential tools for modelling non-linear time
series. The first part of the book describes the main standard
tools of probability and statistics that directly apply to the time
series context to obtain a wide range of modelling possibilities.
Functional estimation and bootstrap are discussed, and stationarity
is reviewed. The second part describes a number of tools from
Gaussian chaos and proposes a tour of linear time series models. It
goes on to address nonlinearity from polynomial or chaotic models
for which explicit expansions are available, then turns to Markov
and non-Markov linear models and discusses Bernoulli shifts time
series models. Finally, the volume focuses on the limit theory,
starting with the ergodic theorem, which is seen as the first step
for statistics of time series. It defines the distributional range
to obtain generic tools for limit theory under long or short-range
dependences (LRD/SRD) and explains examples of LRD behaviours. More
general techniques (central limit theorems) are described under
SRD; mixing and weak dependence are also reviewed. In closing, it
describes moment techniques together with their relations to
cumulant sums as well as an application to kernel type
estimation.The appendix reviews basic probability theory facts and
discusses useful laws stemming from the Gaussian laws as well as
the basic principles of probability, and is completed by R-scripts
used for the figures. Richly illustrated with examples and
simulations, the book is recommended for advanced master courses
for mathematicians just entering the field of time series, and
statisticians who want more mathematical insights into the
background of non-linear time series.
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