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Economic Structural Change - Analysis and Forecasting (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1991)
Loot Price: R1,449
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Economic Structural Change - Analysis and Forecasting (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1991)
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Structural change is a fundamental concept in economic model
building. Statistics and econometrics provide the tools for
identification of change, for estimating the onset of a change, for
assessing its extent and relevance. Statistics and econometrics
also have de veloped models that are suitable for picturing the
data-generating process in the presence of structural change by
assimilating the changes or due to the robustness to its presence.
Important subjects in this context are forecasting methods. The
need for such methods became obvious when, as a consequence of the
oil price shock, the results of empirical analyses suddenly seemed
to be much less reliable than before. Nowadays, economists agree
that models with fixed structure that picture reality over longer
periods are illusions. An example for less dramatic causes than the
oil price shock with similarly profound effects is economic growth
and its impacts on the economic system. Indeed, economic growth was
a motivating concept for this volume. In 1983, the International
Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxen burg/
Austria initiated an ambitious project on "Economic Growth and
Structural Change.""
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