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Engineering Probabilistic Design and Maintenance for Flood Protection (Hardcover, 1997 ed.)
Loot Price: R2,993
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Engineering Probabilistic Design and Maintenance for Flood Protection (Hardcover, 1997 ed.)
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The First Conference on Engineering Probability in Flood Defense
was orga nized by the Department of Mathematics and Informatics of
the Delft U niver sity of Technology and the Department of
Industrial Engineering and Opera tions Research of the University
of California at Berkeley, and was held on June 1,2 1995 in Delft.
Groups at Berkeley and Delft were both deeply engaged in modeling
deterioration in civil structures, particularly flood defense
structures. The plans for the conference were well under way when
the dramatic floods in The Netherlands and California in the winter
of 1994-1995 focused world attention on these problems. The design
of civil engineering structures and systems is essentially an
example of decision making under uncertainty. Although the decision
making part of the process is generally acknowledged, the
uncertainty in variables and param eters in the design problem is
less frequently recognized. In many practical design procedures the
uncertainty is concealed behind sharp probabilistic de sign targets
like 'once in a thousand years' combined with a standardized use of
safety factors. The choice of these probabilistic design targets,
however, is based on an assessment of the uncertainty of the
variable under consideration, and on its assessed importance. The
value of the safety factor is governed by similar considerations.
Standard practice is simply accu ulated experience and engineering
judgment. In light of the great number of civil engineering
structures that function suc-. cessfully, one may say that this
standard practice has proven itself broadly satisfactory."
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