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The United States and the Persian Gulf - Reshaping Security Strategy for the Post-Containment Era (Paperback)
Loot Price: R435
Discovery Miles 4 350
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The United States and the Persian Gulf - Reshaping Security Strategy for the Post-Containment Era (Paperback)
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Loot Price R435
Discovery Miles 4 350
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Significant changes lie ahead for U.S. security strategy in the
Persian Gulf after almost a decade of stasis. In the decade between
the Gulf War and the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center
and the Pentagon, the strategy of dual containment of Iraq and Iran
was a key driver of American military planning and force posture
for the region. During these years, the overriding U.S. concern was
preserving access to Gulf oil at reasonable prices; both Iran and
Iraq possessed only a limited ability to project power and
influence beyond their borders; the Persian Gulf states acquiesced
to a significant U.S. military presence on their soil despite the
domestic costs; and the United States was reasonably successful, at
least until the second Palestinian intifada in September 2000, in
insulating its relationships with key Gulf states from the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict. At the end of the Clinton
administration, it seemed safe to assume that the regional security
environment would continue to evolve more or less on its present
trajectory and that the challenge confronting the United States was
how to manage U.S. forward presence for the long haul under
increasingly stressful conditions. This premise is no longer valid.
The strategy of dual containment, which is just barely alive, will
expire in one way or another in all likelihood because the United
States decides to end Saddam Husayn's rule. American success in
engineering a regime change in Baghdad will require a substantial
increase in U.S. forward deployed forces followed by a
multinational occupation of Iraq that is likely to include a
significant U.S. military component. At the same time, even if
regime change does not occur in Iraq, other factors are likely to
put pressure on the United States over the next decade to alter the
shape of its military posture toward the region. The purpose of
this study is to evaluate the implications of these political,
strategic, security, and military factors for U.S. military
presence and force posture, defense and security relationships, and
force planning for the region. Specifically, the chapters that
follow seek to frame the issues, options, and tradeoffs facing U.S.
defense planners by focusing on the following questions: To what
extent does the emerging security environment-that is, the changing
nature of U.S. interests and threats to those interests- require
changes in the size and composition of forward deployed forces,
peacetime engagement activities, military operations, and force
protection? Does the United States need to reconfigure its security
and military relationships with regional friends and allies to take
account of their changing security perceptions and policies? Are
there trends in the strategic environment that are likely to
generate new demands and requirements for the Armed Forces? How can
the United States reconcile the call in the Quadrennial Defense
Review 2001 for greater flexibility in the global allocation of
U.S. defense capabilities with the harsh reality that, for the
foreseeable future, forward defense of the Persian Gulf will remain
dependent on substantial reinforcements from the United States? The
main conclusion of this study is that, with or without regime
change in Iraq, the United States will need to make significant
adjustments in its military posture toward the region.
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