This volume brings together a collection of essays on the history
and philosophy of probability and statistics by one of the eminent
scholars in these subjects. Written over the last fifteen years,
they fall into three broad categories. The first deals with the use
of symmetry arguments in inductive probability, in particular,
their use in deriving rules of succession (Carnap's 'continuum of
inductive methods'). The second group deals with four outstanding
individuals who made lasting contributions to probability and
statistics in very different ways: Frank Ramsey, R. A. Fisher, Alan
Turing, and Abraham de Moivre. The last group of essays deals with
the problem of 'predicting the unpredictable' - making predictions
when the range of possible outcomes is unknown in advance. The
essays weave together the history and philosophy of these subjects
and document the fascination that they have exercised for more than
three centuries.
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