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Natural Disasters and Climate Change - An Economic Perspective (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2014)
Loot Price: R3,510
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Natural Disasters and Climate Change - An Economic Perspective (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2014)
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This book explores economic concepts related to disaster losses,
describes mechanisms that determine the economic consequences of a
disaster, and reviews methodologies for making decisions regarding
risk management and adaptation. The author addresses the need for
better understanding of the consequences of disasters and reviews
and analyzes three scientific debates on linkage between disaster
risk management and adaptation to climate change. The first
involves the existence and magnitude of long-term economic impact
of natural disasters on development. The second is the disagreement
over whether any development is the proper solution to high
vulnerability to disaster risk. The third debate involves the
difficulty of drawing connections between natural disasters and
climate change and the challenge in managing them through an
integrated strategy. The introduction describes economic views of
disaster, including direct and indirect costs, output and welfare
losses, and use of econometric tools to measure losses. The next
section defines disaster risk, delineates between "good" and "bad"
risk-taking, and discusses a pathway to balanced growth. A section
entitled "Trends in Hazards and the Role of Climate Change" sets
scenarios for climate change analysis, discusses statistical and
physical models for downscaling global climate scenarios to extreme
event scenarios, and considers how to consider extremes of hot and
cold, storms, wind, drought and flood. Another section analyzes
case studies on hurricanes and the US coastline; sea-level rises
and storm surge in Copenhagen; and heavy precipitation in Mumbai. A
section on Methodologies for disaster risk management includes a
study on cost-benefit analysis of coastal protections in New
Orleans, and one on early-warning systems in developing countries.
The next section outlines decision-making in disaster risk
management, including robust decision-making, No-regret and No-risk
strategies; and strategies that reduce time horizons for
decision-making. Among the conclusions is the assertion that risk
management policies must recognize the benefits of risk-taking and
avoid suppressing it entirely. The main message is that a
combination of disaster-risk-reduction, resilience-building and
adaptation policies can yield large potential gains and synergies.
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