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National Security through a Cockeyed Lens - How Cognitive Bias Impacts U.S. Foreign Policy (Paperback, New)
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National Security through a Cockeyed Lens - How Cognitive Bias Impacts U.S. Foreign Policy (Paperback, New)
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"How do mental errors or cognitive biases undermine good decision
making?" This is the question Steve A. Yetiv takes up in his latest
foreign policy study, National Security through a Cockeyed Lens.
Yetiv draws on four decades of psychological, historical, and
political science research on cognitive biases to illuminate some
of the key pitfalls in our leaders' decision-making processes and
some of the mental errors we make in perceiving ourselves and the
world. Tracing five U.S. national security episodes - the 1979
Soviet invasion and occupation of Afghanistan; the Iran-Contra
affair during the Reagan administration; the rise of al-Qaeda,
leading to the 9/11 attacks; the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq; and
the development of U.S. energy policy - Yetiv reveals how a dozen
cognitive biases have been more influential in impacting U.S.
national security than commonly believed or understood. Identifying
a primary bias in each episode-disconnect of perception versus
reality, tunnel vision ("focus feature"), distorted perception
("cockeyed lens"), overconfidence, and short-term thinking - Yetiv
explains how each bias drove the decision-making process and what
the outcomes were for the various actors. His concluding chapter
examines a range of debiasing techniques, exploring how they can
improve decision making.
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