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Constellations and Conjectures (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1973)
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Constellations and Conjectures (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1973)
Series: Synthese Library, 48
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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An occurrence is explained by being related to prior events through
known laws. Other intellectual activities may also constitute
explanation - but this much certainly does. Ideally, an explained
occurrence (0) could have been predicted in a connected way - by
extrapolation from prior events (e) via the same laws (L).
Schematically, 1 Explanation: 0 -Lt, 2, 3-(e e e )'-AI t 2 3 01
Prediction: (e e e )I-L, 2, 3_ +.11 t 2 3 t Thus Mars' backward
loop in late summer, 1956, is explained by showing how this follows
from (e ) its mean distance from sun and earth, (e ) its t 2 mean
period of revolution, (e ) its past positions relative to earth,
etc. 3 - by way of the laws of Celestial Mechanics (including (Lt)
Kepler's Laws and Galileo's, (L2) Newton's, and (L3) those of
Laplace and Lagrange. Moreover, this loop (0) could have been
predicted from such events (e -e ) via the laws of Celestial
Mechanics. t 3 This is an ideal situation. It crystallized late in
the history of planetary theory. The Greeks found explanations for
heavenly motions: the back ward loops were explained to their
satisfaction. But they could not predict these motions, not in
terms of Attic explanatory cosmologies."
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