This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques within each of three classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods, paying special attention to the unique problems of making projections for small areas, and closes with an examination of technological and methodological changes affecting the production of small-area population projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data; they also describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another and for interpolating between two projections. They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections.    The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility� of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources.   This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.​

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques within each of three classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods, paying special attention to the unique problems of making projections for small areas, and closes with an examination of technological and methodological changes affecting the production of small-area population projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data; they also describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another and for interpolating between two projections. They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.

Jewels for the Journey will inspire you. All of us desire a fulfilled, enriched, and engaged life. We hunger for a life that brings us satisfaction, validates our worth, and give us a sense of purpose. Life, however can be challenging and at times doesn't turn out as you've planned. If not careful, these difficulties can extinguish your passion, rob you of your hope, and steal your dreams. Hardship and difficulties are unavoidable; however the key to your fulfilment in life is not the absence of these challenges, but the successful navigation of them. The Jewels for the journey is a thought provoking, whimsical, funny and at times touching book designed to offer practical insights on everyday difficulties. It challenges the reader to view problems as learning opportunities. Each of our hardships, when overcome, can produce gems of wisdom that are far more valuable than emeralds and rubies. It's what old folk use to mean when they would say "I wouldn't take nothing for my journey." Your passion can be rekindled, your hope restored, and your dreams fulfilled as you expose Jewels on your Journey.

God wants you debt free and prosperous Prosperity includes life, health, emotional wellness and yes, MONEY Debt is bondage. It inhibits your ability to live a full and productive life. Jesus came to set you free from all bondage including freedom from debt. This book will inspire, provoke and encourage you to seek God's answer for your financial dilemmas. This book will help you discover the key to the Power to get Wealth

Actress Holly Allen, whose career has been declining, thinks she is flying from L.A. to San Francisco for a dinner date. Once in the air, she realizes she has been kidnapped, by bad men for nefarious reasons. Then, as if it couldn't get worse, the small jet must make an emergency landing in the middle of nowhere. *** Hunting guide Ab Bailey, alone in the Alaskan wilderness, sees a small jet crash land on a glacier high in the Wrangell Mountains. If anyone survived, Ab will have to attempt the rescue on his own, if he can survive the treacherous climb to the crash site. But this rescue will hold a stunning surprise, one he did not count on. *** Two people, from different worlds, in a life and death struggle to survive. A harrowing attempt to escape through the Alaskan landscape, filled with mountains, bears, and bad men. And the biggest question of all. What to do with each other. Against all odds, alone, together.

Benny Mataus, Sr. is the most powerful crime boss in the southeast. Only one woman has the power to bring him down. But she is long gone, now in federal witness protection. *** Benny Mataus, Jr. is his father's strongman. He is a big, brutal man, without issues; until he rapes and murders the wrong people. *** Dogen Mondo, firearms guru, must find the killer of his daughter. The answers lie in the brutal underworld of the Atlanta mob, and with a beautiful woman. To find those answers, Dogen must find her, and them. From Alabama to Atlanta, to the Rocky Mountains of Canada, Dogen will not stop until his revenge is complete. Until they understand, THE SUFFICIENCE OF EVIL.